So from an Irish perspective the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) parts of the Lisbon Treary are perhaps one of the more controversial parts. The common fear is the creation of some sort of EU-super army that will have thrilling adventures in places that most people would have difficulty spelling. Lisbon provides nothing to worry about in this regard, because the EU already created it in 2004, it's called the European Defence Agency.
My primary concern is that it would require us to actually spend money. I know, you were thinking about neutrality. Face it our health service is wonky and the Ireland's finances are a fairy story (we seem to have misplaced a billion in tax revenue somewhere, perhaps Bertie could save the day with some hot gee-gee money, but I digress) - do we really want to spend money on shiny new tanks? Here's EDA's information about how much we spend on
defence-note how low we are as a % of GDP. This is a good thing. Unfortunately, Lisbon Treaty states:
"member states shall undertake progressively to improve their military capabilities".
That sounds expensive. Now Lisbon supporters say that there are no targets / requirements being set so we shouldn't worry, but that's pretty cold comfort. Once an objective like this is agreed to, targets may not too far behind. However, we can be pragmatic. we are already part of the EDA and so we have to commit to some spending (our guys walkie-talkie things need to be able to the Germans' talkie-things for instance). It seems unlikely that we can be forced to commit high-levels of GDP spending to the military, either theoretically or practically - but it is a bit unclear.
What Lisbon does is interesting. It sets out two stalls. The first is a wide brief where the EU as a whole can get involved in defence activities outside its borders, but this is subject to unanimous decisions by all states. The second more worryingly is called Structured Co-operation, basically a subset of Member States banding together to go on jolly foreign jaunts again under a pretty wide brief (UN-sanction actions, stabilisation of states, defence, etc). Within
3 months of the passing of the treaty, states can band together to create a new combined force. This is inherently a new militaristic focus to the EU, there really isn't another way to look at it. How you view this is up to you. I'm hot-n-cold on the issue. I remember Kosovo, where the EU failed to act and UN personnel failed to protect lives. So I'm suspicious, but not totally against the idea.
In any case Ireland cannot be forced to join. It would require a goverment decision, Dail approval, and UN authorisation for us to get involved.
I would prefer if this whole aspect of the Lisbon Treaty simply wasn't there. It is definitely a genuine concern. Not because it commits Ireland to any given action, but because it involves a ramping up of the militarisation of the EU (which started off as a purely economic union). I am enough of a realist to recognise that there are already a number of supra-national mechanisms by which member states can already engage together and that having such engagements inside the EU makes them to some degree more accountable.
Labels: Lisbon Treaty